We’re in the waning days of the US presidential campaign – thank God. In 20 days, the country will hit the polls and decide whether they want Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton to have their finger over the big red nuke button. It’s not a particularly edifying thought either way.
But everyone knows Trump has not been doing well over the past few weeks. His off-the-cuff, meandering, reflexively insulting campaign rhetoric is effective when he’s demonising Muslims and immigrants, but not so great when he’s defending himself against accusations of harassment and sexual assault. His polling has taken a serious hit.
The generally well-regarded FiveThirtyEight poll of polls model has Clinton at a 87.4% chance of winning the election right now. And Trump’s people are coming to that realisation. Kellyanne Conway, Trump’s campaign manager and a longtime Republican pollster, has long dismissed assertions that Trump isn’t doing so crash hot, but on an appearance on Meet The Press she was more forthcoming.
“We are behind,” she said.
— Fox News (@FoxNews) October 23, 2016
She clarified that stance, though:
[Clinton] has some advantages, like $US66 million in advertisement buys just in the month of September, thereby doubling her ad buys from August. Now, most of those ads are negative against Donald Trump – classic politics of personal destruction, cesspool kind of ads. And she has tremendous advantages: She has a former president, who happens to be her husband, campaigning for her. The current president and first lady, vice president, all much more popular than she can hope to be.
Media Matters for America also dug up a bunch of Conway’s old statements about Trump and chucked them into a little compilation, so you can see how much her tune has changed when it comes to her boss:
remember when Kellyanne Conway’s cable news appearances looked like this? pic.twitter.com/5ObZdl2BC3
— Alazar (@zarzarbinkss) October 23, 2016
More likely that not, we’re gonna see a Clinton presidency. And for progressive Americans, you gotta hope to God she’ll be a tiny bit better than the Clinton we’re seeing in the Wikileaks emails – who is craven and prone to capitulating to any kind of rightwing policy she thinks will get her elected.
Oh well! We have our own problems here, don’t we?
Photo: Getty Images.