Extremely popular TV series Game of Thrones will air its eighth and final season next year, which can only mean one thing: Lot’s of characters are going to die.
Yep, there’s been given some pretty grim hints about the fate of the cast during the show’s production, and while we can’t be certain, it sounds like there won’t be many of them left when all is said and done. But this wasn’t good enough for Taylor Larkin, who used the magic of data to work out who’s most likely to cark it.
The data scientist of DataRobot posted his methodology to the company’s blog, which is lengthy as fuck, but great if you’d like to get into the details of how he worked it all out. Essentially, old mate analysed the 2,000 characters from A Song of Ice and Fire and noted things like their gender, age, house, nobility status, and how many members of their family have fallen off the perch already to calculate the likelihood of their own death.
Here’s the numbers he came up with:
- Daenerys Targaryen – 83.77% chance of death
- Jaime Lannister – 72.91% chance of death
- Tyrion Lannister – 70.76% chance of death
- Bran Stark – 66.02% chance of death
- Cersei Lannister – 60.39% chance of death
- Jon Snow – 58.99% chance of death
- Euron Greyjoy – 54.95% chance of death
- Sansa Stark – 50.28% chance of death
- Arya Stark – 49.04% chance of death
- Gendry – 39.87% chance of death
Hmm, it looks The Mother of Dragons is done for, but I guess that’s not all so surprising given the high price on her head from the beginning. As Larkin points out, these are by no means predictive stats, but rather, just a bit of harmless fun.
“While it’s a fun exercise to use book details to predict future plot points in the show, it’s ultimately going to be the showrunners who decide the fate of Westeros and all those who are involved,” he said.
The show’s final season will air at some point next year and will contain six episodes, some or all of which will be movie-length.
